Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 316.169104 359.587289 408.349113 467.468785 537.605384 618.647465 720.090059
2025-01-05 246.327903 300.803091 367.746718 457.203085 575.360090 728.609974 946.664014
2025-01-12 210.637426 269.319252 345.823970 455.025005 610.536862 829.917431 1173.980851
2025-01-19 179.208022 236.831989 315.255931 432.818109 610.110536 877.215017 1330.457420
2025-01-26 167.808685 229.055586 316.024327 452.987143 672.069812 1025.810664 1679.711203
2025-02-02 160.339819 225.394923 321.442013 479.840320 747.865988 1210.986669 2144.441133
2025-02-09 148.098107 213.026098 311.872398 481.012217 780.629726 1328.419017 2517.658412
2025-02-16 134.961390 197.782009 295.845395 468.840767 787.299306 1398.347713 2814.273547
2025-02-23 124.290843 185.279491 282.703948 459.521114 797.039687 1475.385887 3151.262747
2025-03-02 118.830683 180.516336 281.615321 471.058441 847.963014 1647.380118 3779.150993
2025-03-09 111.958213 172.766715 274.588842 470.609627 874.683811 1772.956604 4338.041375
2025-03-16 104.420702 163.250474 263.539093 461.051355 880.702255 1852.343479 4800.561567
2025-03-23 98.915713 156.940460 257.888587 461.952050 910.994363 2001.722174 5562.836280
2025-03-30 92.375042 148.346619 247.368581 451.926786 915.533746 2088.717378 6173.034501
2025-04-06 87.539531 142.370123 241.095294 449.776165 937.893403 2229.302587 7058.435190
2025-04-13 80.699059 132.307592 226.283348 427.885336 909.225579 2220.596284 7366.285609
2025-04-20 79.441808 132.284817 230.626514 447.767598 987.615877 2547.297044 9304.248601
2025-04-27 78.906278 133.529069 237.520352 474.234200 1088.818722 2982.292421 12163.460740
2025-05-04 75.727849 129.546197 233.590291 475.389106 1122.248458 3207.383906 14183.339829
2025-05-11 71.509927 123.294148 224.528167 463.393641 1116.680711 3295.073000 15508.995086
2025-05-18 67.881596 117.963354 216.973815 454.208000 1117.821466 3409.391337 17144.213679
2025-05-25 66.367968 116.670352 217.770240 465.579331 1182.522764 3793.228396 21163.275849
2025-06-01 63.927008 113.376904 214.032285 465.136993 1211.043565 4044.569601 24592.119014